Welcome to MarkYourCard for racing on Friday
Couple of “others” for tomorrow ...
7.33 newmarket Rocking Ends is the obvious one, dropping in grade to target a race he has won for the last two years. Plenty short enough though - 3/1 at 365, 2/1 on other books, if we drifted to 7/2 i’d be on it.
8.43 - Mister Mojito - Back down into a 0-70 for the first time in a while, this will be more his speed, but, its an apprentice race ... horrible stuff, the top one makes much more sense. The only jockey/trainer combo with more than a few rides and a couple of results between them. if you have 365, id be happy @ 5.5 with 3 places which is the offer right now, but all other books are 7/2 - 2 places.
20.25 Rock of England .. would be nice to be able to play this one each/way, but only two places on offer in a short field. Price just does not quite do it for me, if there is a drift i’d be interested here .. but law of averages makes more sense and is not at a backable price.
That leaves us with two in the same race, they are both playable prices, so we will have an e/w swing on both and see what happens.
Drops In Class
8.52 Pontefract - Mount King @ 8.5 - 3 places
Showed a return to form last time out when running in a 1m class 5 handicap here at Pontefract. Blew the start a little that day, then rushed up to lead and tired late after using up too much too soon.
They have waited for the right opportunity here and go back to same track and trip in a much easier looking race to give it another go. This seems to be Easterby’s way of doing things and I would not be surprised to see that this one is out there and ready to win tomorrow.
The price on offer is fair, the chance is there for all to see, this one is down 10lb since last win, back in form against better and in with a chance tomorrow.
Speed Figure Picks
THEME PARK (20:52 Pontefract) e/w 3 places @ 8.50
He is taking a massive plunge down the grades. He was previously winning Class 4 handicaps off a mark of 81. Today, he runs in a bottom-tier Class 6 (0-65) off a career-low mark of 65.
Our sectional analysis completely debunked the negative narrative surrounding his recent York run. The clock proved he ran well to the 8-furlong mark before his stamina collapsed over the 10.3f trip on his seasonal return.
Here he drops back to his optimum 1-mile trip today at a track where he is a proven Course and Distance winner. The pace map is perfect: the presence of the aggressive front-runner Bun Bang Fai ensures Snaafy won't get an uncontested crawl on the front end, setting the race up perfectly for Theme Park's proven mid-race gear change to sweep past them on the climb.
Nigel Tinkler specifically targets this track (16% Win / 37% Place rate over the last 2 years).