Welcome to MarkYourCard for racing on Saturday
Early one for tomorrow as I am starting to see pressure on the price. It would probably have not been my selection in the race, but the system has thrown up a horse that is well-in on the speed figures, has a chance if we can not blow the start and then get a clear run from behind the leaders late.
There will likely be more bets to come at the usual time.
Speed Figure Picks
13.55 newbury - The Thames Boatman @ 21.0 most books
Our speed figures initially highlighted The Thames Boatman and Glamorous Breeze as brilliantly handicapped runners. However, we discarded Glamorous Breeze alongside prominent threats Kinswoman and Regal Envoy. Why? Sectional timing data shows that these front-runners may struggle to see out this trip from a blazing pace, setting up a late collapse that we can take advantage of from off the pace..
We confidently landed on The Thames Boatman.
Regal Envoy will undoubtedly dictate a suicidal early pace from a favorable low draw. While our selection has a tricky wide draw and a frustrating habit of starting slowly, his extended form and sectional data prove he possesses explosive, race-winning closing speed on fast ground.
Furthermore, with jockey Saffie Osborne in red-hot form for the reliable Richard Hughes yard, the team is perfectly equipped to navigate the late traffic as the leaders fade.
Its a bit of a swing, but the price is too big on ours, I expect closer to 10/1 at the off.