Welcome to MarkYourCard for racing on Thursday
Once again - prices beat.
Gorgeous Mr George @ 13.0 —> 6.5 (Lost)
Canaria Queen @ 4.5 - same price
Iris Dancer @ 9.0 —> 5.5
Sonnerie Power @ 10.0 —> 6.5
But will we get a result ?
Not too much I like at the prices tomorrow, just the two bets for now.
Jockey/Trainer Stats
Return to unit was going to be a bet, but opened @ 7/2, that is too short for the chance, I was looking for at least 9/2 and ideally 11/2 for this to be a bet. So for now it is a pass, but keeping an eye on this in case of a drift in price later.
No bets for me from these.
Nottingham
Roger Varian goes well here, especially when combining with Dawson
13 runs, 6 wins, 8 places
The one I am interested in is :
3.42 - Return To Unit
Won a maiden race here over track and trip quite impressively in October, Dawson was jockey that day and there were plenty of compliments for the horse after the race. The one he beat that day has gone on to win twice since, and now has a mark of 85. Was given an opening hcap mark of 80 for handicaps and on seasonal debut was caught out a little by a fast early pace at Ayr, stayed on without getting involved. Will likely have come on for that. May have something to give in this one back at track and trip with same jockey up as that win. If the horse is going to be as good as they were talking, he should be winning this on his way up through the grades. However there are some half decent handicappers in here that wont make it easy, if the horse has not improved from last year to this, he will find this tough. I’m willing to take a chance as long as the price is right.
Yarmouth
Varian/Mitchell combine for 8 runs, 3 wins, 6 places
The one I like the look of is Fox Avatar in the 4.28. Showing improvement race by race, won a couple of class 4's and tried up at class three twice now, not beaten too far in either. Back down to a class 4 here on Thursday after making seasonal debut last time out. Should be fit and ready for this one.
The other Jockey with good stats here is Pat Cosgrave.
23 runs, 9 wins, 12 places.
He is here for two rides, but likely the main reason he is here will be for Darkest Red in the 5.35 race. Had a couple of nice seconds recently and will likely be in the mix again.
Drops In Class
7.22 Catterick - Brain Freeze @ 4.33
Something seemed to finally click for this one last time out, was slow into stride and had to be encouraged along for most of the race in order to keep focus. Won well enough in the end against some much higher rated opposition including a previous winner.
Drops from a 0-70 into a 0-60 and keeps the claimer who won on her last time out. If repeating that last run here should follow up.
Edit - opened @ 4.33. will have a win bet at that price.
Speed Figure Picks
20:59 Catterick - Vince Le Prince @ 7.0 - 3 places.