Welcome to MarkYourCard for racing on Sunday
Just the one bet for Sunday. We had shortlisted U sure do in the 4.25 also, but could not get that one past the checks and balances. Havana Run seems like a solid bet at the price.
Speed Figure Picks
14:05 York - Havana Rum @ 7.0 best odds (sky)
5½f Fine Details Car Valeting Sprint Handicap (Class 4)
Havana Rum (IRE) stands out as the clear value bet with speed figures that are much better than the rest in this race. While front-runners like Curious Rover and Vingegaard look well-drawn, both are heavily over-handicapped on the clock and likely to fold under a blistering contested pace. The red-hot Harb must shoulder an 8lb penalty from an unfavorable high berth in stall 21, leaving the door wide open for a closer.
Havana Rum gets the perfect setup from stall 7 on the favored low side. He drops into Class 4 company off his last winning mark of 76, with proven course form (3rd of 19 over 6f here) and top figures on Good to Soft ground. Sectionals reveal he consistently produces a field-best final furlong (12.4s–12.6s), which easily reels in chief threat Parisiac, who decelerates sharply late (13.3s+). Backed by an in-form yard (Richard & Peter Fahey striking at 16% with Warren Fentiman winning at 17%), everything aligns for a huge run.